Overall Schema group
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A compilation of observations from well-documented eruptions and their implications for eruption source parameters
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Prepared for the Eruption Source Parameters |
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[edit] Introduction |
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The table in this document is a modification of Table 2 in the ESP workshop meeting notes, a list of well-studied eruptions that could be characterized for eruption source parameters. Our objective was to characterize these eruptions and categorize them into various eruption types, which we could use source parameters for each type as inputs to atmospheric models. The Eruption List working group was tasked with the job of assigning ESP’s to these well-studied eruptions. This is one product of that effort. |
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[edit] Table entries |
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[edit] Parameter estimations and their uncertainties |
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The compilation includes information on the following source parameters, which were estimated in different ways in different studies. The numbers all have caveats associated with them, which are explained below. |
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[edit] Eruption type |
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One objective of the table was to divide eruptions by type, following Table 1 of the meeting notes. That table assigns three types each for silicic, andesite-to-basaltic-andesite, and basaltic eruptions; and within each of those types we would characterize “default”-type eruptions, plume/plumette type, discrete puffs, and so on. This results in a matrix with dozens of cells, which, in my opinion, could not be populated given the number of well-characterized eruptions. Therefore, in the table, I simply identify small, medium, and large eruptions of the three magma types given above. In column 3 of the table, under “type”, small, medium, and large silicic eruptions are indicated by abbreviations S1, S2, and S3, respectively, and color coded in red. Andesitic or basaltic-andesite eruptions are A1, A2, and A3 and purple; and basaltic eruptions B1, B2, and B3 in magenta. In assigning eruption size, I used the VEI, i.e. A1, A2, and A3 are VEI 3, 4, and 5+ respectively. Within each magma type, entries in the table are ordered in increasing eruptive volume. For purposes of assigning ESP, I suggest that we further simplify eruption types into basaltic types (B) and small, medium, and large silicic or intermediate eruptions (SI1, SI2, and SI3). |
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[edit] Eruptions chosen for the table |
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The eruptions chosen for this table are primarily those in Table 2 of the meeting notes. However for some entries in Table 2 I found no evidence of a documented eruption (e.g. Kliuchevskoy, 9/94), and for others (e.g. Karthala 2005, Ruang 2004, Galunggung 1983), there was no information on erupted volume. The latter eruptions were separated into a second section of the table. Plume height, erupted volume, and duration for some eruptions were also tabulated by Sparks et al. [1997, Table 5.1], and I used some of those entries after reviewing and throwing some out that did not appear appropriate. Finally, John Ewert suggested several eruptions that were not in either of these tables. |
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[edit] Inferences from the table |
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[edit] Plume height and eruption rate |
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An important question is whether one can reasonably use one observed source parameter, plume height for example, to infer others. Relationships between plume height and eruption rate have long been considered, both theoretically and empirically [Settle, 1978; Wilson, et al., 1978; Sparks, 1986; Woods, 1988; Sparks, et al., 1997]. In a uniform atmosphere of constant thermal lapse rate, Morton et al. [1956] suggested that plume height should be proportional to the fourth root of eruptive power (mass eruption rate times heat content of the magma). Sparks et al. [1997, Fig. 5.1] obtained a best-fit curve through empirical plume height-eruption rate observations of: |
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H= 1.67V0.259 |
(1) |
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where H is plume height in kilometers and V is volumetric eruption rate (DRE) in cubic meters per second. The exponent lies remarkably close to the theoretical fourth-root relationship of Morton et al. |
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[edit] The Data |
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Figure 1 shows plume height versus eruption rate for the eruptions in this table. This compilation is more complete than previous ones [Settle, 1978, Table 1; Wilson, et al., 1978, Table 3; Sparks, et al., 1997, Table 5.1], and removes a few data points1 that appeared in previous compilations but perhaps should not have been there. The data show a clear trend, with some obvious outliers above and below. Outliers below are several Mount St. Helens 1980 eruptions, the 1902 Soufrière St. Vincent eruption and the Redoubt eruption of 15 December 1989. Possible outliers above include the eruptions at Hekla in 1947 and Nevado del Ruiz in 1985. Outliers below the curve can occur if a significant fraction of the deposit results from coignimbrite ash, a process that Carey et al. [Carey, et al., 1990] suggested this as a possible explanation for the anomalously high volume of the May 18, 1980 tephra given its plume height. Pyroclastic flows also accompanied the 1989 Redoubt, 1902 Soufrière and Mount St. Helens June 12, 1980 eruptions (i.e. all the low-outliers), though it is not clear that pyroclast flows were unusually prominent relative to other eruptions. Outliers above the main trend can occur if the observers record the height of an ash-poor cloud above the main column; if erupted volume is underestimated or if duration is underestimated. At Hekla in 1947 Thorarinsson, [1949] considered most of the upper eruption cloud to be a vapor rich cap; however this also appeared to be the case during the March 8, 2005 eruption of Mount St. Helens [Mastin, 2007], a data point that doesn’t stand out as anomalously high. Plume heights at Mount Spurr, which are nearly upper outliers, were among the most accurate on the plot in terms of plume height (measured by radar), duration (measured seismically) and erupted volume (meticulously mapped by Neal et al. [1995]). In brief, I see no good reason to throw away outliers on the basis of observational data. |
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1 Bezymianny’s 1956 eruptive plume was included in these three tables, but Belousov and Belosouva (2007) note that this was a coignimbrite cloud, not a Plinian eruption cloud. Also, Sparks et al. (1997, Table 5.1) includes plume height and eruption rate for four stratigraphic layers of the May 18, 1980 Mount St. Helens Plinian eruption, citing Carey et al. (1990) as the data source. Carey et al. (1990) however estimated eruption rate from plume height using a model, not the deposit volume and duration. |
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[edit] Best fit |
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The best-fit line through these data gives the following best-fit relationship between plume height H and eruption rate M is: |
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log10(H)=Alog10(M)+B |
(2) |
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where best-fit values of A and B are 0.222 and -0.3833, respectively. Converted to volumetric flow rate V(DRE) for comparison with (1) , which is not significantly different from H= 2.35V0.222 (1). The dotted red lines in Fig. 1 are error envelopes that enclose half the data points. From figure this one can see that attempts to estimate mass eruption rate from plume height are highly approximate. Within these error envelopes, for a given plume height, the uncertainty in mass eruption rate is more than a factor of five in either direction. |
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[edit] Comparison with theoretical curves |
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Theoretical curves by Wilson et al. [1978] and Woods [1988, Fig. 15] predict plume heights above most of the data whereas those by Woods [1995, Fig. 17a] and Plumeria [Mastin, 2007] in a dry atmosphere come closer to the best-fit curve. The few data points at eruption rates below about 106 kg/s do not show the spread in plume heights that are predicted in variable atmospheric conditions [Woods, 1993; Tupper, et al., 2007b], although the scarcity of data in this region prevent any meaningful conclusions from being drawn. |
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[edit] Erupted Volume and plume height |
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Carey and Sigurdsson [1989] show that plume height correlates with total erupted volume V. Using a different dataset we also find a correlation (Fig. 2), with R2=0.826 and a best-fit curve of: |
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H=6.38+25.64log10(V) |
(3) |
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with a standard error in plume height of about 5 km. The potential error in estimation of total erupted volume from this relationship is close to an order of magnitude on either side of the best fit curve. |
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[edit] Eruption duration |
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The duration in eruptions lasts from a few tens of minutes to hundreds of hours (271 for Cerro Negro 1995). There is no correlation between plume height and erupted volume (Fig. 3), although the longest-lasting eruptions tend to be those with the lowest eruption rates. The median time for eruptions in this table is 4.4 hours. |
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[edit] Figures |
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[edit] Figure 1Plume height versus log eruption rate for eruptions in Table 1. Lines are theoretical
curves from Wilson et al. [1978] (black dashed curve)
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[edit] Figure 2Plume height versus log total erupted volume (km3 DRE) for well-documented eruptions. Solid red line is the best-fit curve through the data. Red dashed lines represent one standard error above and below the best-fit relation.
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[edit] Figure 3 |
[edit] Figure 4Histogram of the log of duration of eruptions in the eruption table.
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[edit] Tables |
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Eruption source parameters for well-studied eruptions chosen by IAVWOPG for characterization for ESP, and other eruptions which have been well documented. Eruption types refer to small, medium and large silicic eruptions (S1, S2, S3 respectively), andesite or basaltic-andesite types (A1, A2, A3), and basaltic types (B1, B2, B3). Table entries are color-coded according to their eruption type; silicic (red), andesitic (brown), basaltic (magenta). Plume heights are annotated with a letter following the number, which indicates the method by which plume height was estimated: “v”=visual observation from the ground or an airplane; “r”=radar; “s”=satellite images; “i” = isopleth data. |
Table 1 with volume data
| Volcano | date of onset (mm/dd/yyyy) | type | VEI | Height above the vent (km) |
volume (km3DRE) |
rate (kg/s) |
Duration (hours) |
GSD (mdφ) |
(σφ) |
| St Helens, USA | 03/08/2005 | S1 | 2 | 9v | 1e-04 | 4e05 | 0.5 | ||
| St Helens, USA | 07/22/1980 | S2 | 2 | 10.3r | 0.001 | 1.4e06 | 0.45 | ||
| St Helens, USA | 05/25/1980 | S2 | 3 | 10.2r | 0.016 | 2e07 | less than 0.55 | ||
| St Helens, USA | 06/12/1980 | S2 | 3 | 9.6 | 0.017 | 2e07 | 0.5 | ||
| St Helens, USA | 05/18/1980 | S3 | 5 | 13.5r | 0.2 | 2e07 | 9 | 6 | 2 |
| Quizapu, Chile | 04/10/1932 | S3 | 6 | 27-30i | 4.0 | 1.5e08 | 18 | ||
| Pinatubo, Philippines | 06/12/1991 | S2 | 3 | 17.5r | 0.0056 | 6e06 | 0.63 | ||
| Pinatubo, Philippines | 06/15/1991 | S3 | 6 | 35-40s | 5-8 | 1-2e09 | 3 | ||
| Ruapehu, NZ | 06/17/1996 | A1 | 3 | 5.7s | 0.002 | 1e05 | greater than 12 | -0.8 | 2.43 |
| Redoubt, USA | 12/15/1989 | A1 | 3 | 9v | 0.00056-0.0105 | 4-7e06 | 1.03 | ||
| Nevado del Ruiz, Columbia | 11/13/1985 | A1 | 3 | 26i | 0.014 | 3e07 | 0.3 | ||
| Spurr, USA | 06/27/1992 | A1 | 3 | 14r | 0.012 | 2e06 | 4.4 | ||
| Spurr, USA | 08/18/1992 | A1 | 3 | 15r | 0.014 | 3e06 | 3.5 | ||
| Spurr, USA | 09/17/1992 | A1 | 3 | 14r | 0.015 | 3e06 | 3.6 | ||
| Helka, Iceland | 05/05/1970 | A1 | 3 | 12 - 16v | 0.017 | 6e06 | 2 | ||
| Helka, Iceland | 08/17/1980 | A1 | 3 | 15v | 0.019 | 2e06 | 5 | ||
| Reventador, Ecuador | 11/03/2002 | A3 | 4 | 17v | 0.12 | 1e07 | 22 | ||
| Helka, Iceland brownish-gray ash brownish-gray ash |
03/29/1947 |
A2 |
4 |
28v 8-25V |
0.13 0.085 0.035 |
4.2e07 1.5e07 |
6 0.5 0.5 |
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| Soufriere, St Vincent | 05/07/1902 | A2 | 4 | 14v | 0.14 | 3-4e07 | 2.5-3.5 | ||
| El Chichon A, Mexico | 03/29/1982 | A3 | 5 | 20i | 0.35 | 4.2e07 | 5 | ||
| El Chichon B, Mexico | 04/04/1982 0135 GMT |
A3 | 5 | 24i | 0.39 | 6.8e07 | 4 | ||
| El Chichon C, Mexico | 04/04/1982 1122 GMT |
A3 | 5 | 22i | 0.40 | 4.0e07 | 7 | ||
| Hudson, Chile | August 1991 | A3 | 5 | 12-18v | 3.0 | 7e07 | 31 | ||
| Santa Maria, Guatemala | 10/24/1902 | A3 | 6 | 34i | 2.5-3.0 | 6-10e08 | 24-36 | ||
| Etna, Italy | 07/19-07/24/2001 | B1 | 2 | 0.5-2.5v | 9e-04 | 6e03 | 115 | 2 | 1.9 |
| Cerro Negro, Nicaragua | Nov 1995 | B1 | 2 | 2-2.5v | 5.2e-04 | 1.6e03 | 271 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Cerro Negro, Nicaragua | April 1992 | B2 | 3 | 7v | 0.0094 | 1e05 | 64 | -0.1 | 1.4 |
| Fuego, Guatemala | 09/17/1971 | B2 | 3 | 10v | 0.02 | 1e06 | 12 | ||
| Miyakejima, Japan | 08/18/2000 | B3 | 3 | 16.5r | 0.034 | 6.8e05 | 3.4 |
Table 2 without volume data
| Volcano | date of onset (mm/dd/yyyy) | type | VEI | Height above the vent (km) |
volume (km3DRE) |
rate (kg/s) |
Duration (hours) |
GSD (mdφ) |
(σφ) |
| Tungurahua, Ecuador | 07/14/2006 | A2 | 3? | 15? | 4.5 | ||||
| Galunggung, Indonesia | 06/24/1983 | A2 | 4 | 16 | 2e07 | 96 | |||
| Rabaul, Papua New Guinea | Sept 1994 | A3 | 4 | 18 | greater than 48 | ||||
| Ruang, Indonesia | Sept 2002 | A3 | 4? | 20 | 19 | ||||
| Manam, Papua New Guinea | 10/24/2002 | A3 | 4? | 17-18.5 | 7 | ||||
| Nyamuragiro, Congo | July 2002 | B1 | 2 | 0.2 | 240? | ||||
| Etna, Italy | Oct 2002 | B2 | 3 | 5 | 4e06 | ||||
| Karthala, Comoros | 11/24/2002 | B2 | 2? | 10 | greater than 24? | ||||
| Hekla, Iceland | Feb 2000 | B3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | ||||
| Grimsvotn, Iceland | 11/01-11/05/2004 | B3 | 3 | 9-14 | less than 1e08 | 15 |
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[edit] Appendix: Notes on the various eruptions |
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[edit] Cerro Negro |
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13 April 1992.
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[edit] El Chichon |
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March-April 1982
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[edit] Etna |
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October 2002
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July-August 2001
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[edit] Fuego |
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14 September 1971
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[edit] Galunggung |
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4 June 1982
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[edit] Grímsvötn |
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1 November 2004
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[edit] Hekla |
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29 March 1947.
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5 May 1970
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17 August 1980.
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26 February 2000
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[edit] Hudson |
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12 August 1991
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[edit] Karthala |
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24 November 2005
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[edit] Manam |
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24 October 2004.
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[edit] Miyakejima |
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18 August 2000.
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[edit] Nevado del Ruiz |
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13 November 1985
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[edit] Nyamuragira |
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25 July 2002
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[edit] Pinatubo |
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15 June 1991
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12 June 1991, 0851.
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13-14 June, 1991, 0841
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[edit] Quizapu |
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10 April 1932
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[edit] Rabual |
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19 September 1994
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[edit] Redoubt |
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15 December 1989
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[edit] Reventador |
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3 November 2002
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[edit] Ruang |
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25 September 2004
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[edit] Ruapheu |
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17 June 1996
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[edit] Santa Maria |
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25 October 1902
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[edit] Soufrière of St. Vincent |
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7 May 1902
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[edit] Spurr |
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1992 eruptions
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[edit] St Helens |
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18 May 1980.
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Late May through July 1980
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8 March 2005
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[edit] Tungurahua |
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14 July 2006
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Done by July 31st 2007
We have identified preliminary “default” ESP’s for unknown volcanoes. For the nine volcano types listed in Table 1 of the meeting notes, we are dividing up responsibility among the five members. ESP’s for those eruption types are not yet drafted.
Default source parameters for “unknown” volcanoes
| Parameter | -------------- | Value |
| Plume height | --------------> | 10 km (see suggested modification below) |
| Duration | --------------> | 3 hours (can be modified from observations) |
| Eruption rate (Q) | --------------> | from plume height (H) using Sparks empirical formula H=1.67^0.259. (This yields Q=1000 m3/s DRE) |
| Mass distribution | --------------> | all mass distributed in an “umbrella cloud” in the uppermost 25% of plume height |
| Grain-size distribution | --------------> | too fine to settle out (see below) |
Modifications suggested during the phone conversation:
1) Bill Rose suggested a plume height at the tropopause. This is more physically based than my arbritrary 10m km, and I agree that we should adopt it.
2) Bill and Adam Durant, suggest that a GSD with a median grain size of 6 phi and a standard deviation of 2 phi be used (see discussion of GSD workgroup below).

